by Robin Baker
The number of votes cast in the European Parliamentary election
in the UK together with my assumption as to whether those voters were supports
of Brexit of remain were:
Party
|
% of votes
|
Pro Brexit
|
Pro remain
|
Indeterminate
|
|
Brexit
|
31.6
|
31.6
|
|||
Lib Dem
|
20.3
|
20.3
|
|||
Labour
|
14.1
|
14.1
|
|||
Green
|
12.1
|
12.1
|
|||
Conservative
|
9.1
|
9.1
|
|||
SNP
|
3.6
|
3.6
|
|||
Change UK
|
3.4
|
3.4
|
|||
Ukip
|
3.3
|
3.3
|
|||
Plaid Cymru
|
1
|
1
|
|||
Total
|
98.5
|
44
|
40.4
|
So, based on this assumption it appears that the number of
those voting pro-Brexit exceeded the number voting for remain.
But in fact some Labour voters, indeed probably the
majority, were actually remain supporters.
If just 38% (that is 5.8% of all voters) were remain supporters and the
rest supporters of Brexit, then there were more remain than Brexit voters.
Of course drawing any conclusion form these results is
dangerous, among other reasons because of the low poll. However it seems to be to be very probable
that more than half the Labour voters were in favour of remain. If I am right, then despite all the Farage
cheering and boasting, then these results are encouraging for remainers.